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Tag : forecasted

Home/Posts Tagged "forecasted" (Page 4)
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Will “Dutch disease” be Back?

by Mojde Rezaeedate: 31 October 2016in Macroeconomics No Comments

Will it be Back?

By Mojde Rezaee & Alireza Hojjatnia

“Dutch disease is the negative impact on an economy of anything that gives rise to a sharp inflow of foreign currency, such as the discovery of large oil reserves. The currency inflows lead to currency appreciation, making the country’s other products less price competitive on the export market”

With a rise in commodity prices, it is expected for oil rich nations to witness economic growth and generally a better economic performance. Unless being managed accordingly by adopting adequate and effective policies, such massive revenues will cause irreparable economic catastrophes which had been covered and hidden before. The economic aftermaths for the nation would be abnormal inflation growth, meteoric rise in real estate prices, reduced manufacturing and high unemployment rate which all end in instability and drop by drop will worn out the economy’s infrastructures.

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IFB ranked by transparency! – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 10 October 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

IFB ranked by transparency!

All listed tickers on IFB ranked with regards to disclosure quality and proper notification over a 12 months period ended September 2nd, 2016.

Disclosure quality measured based on two factors, reliability and timeliness. Moreover, since investments companies are not ought to release EPS estimates, therefore, points on them counted regardless of the estimates.

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Halted tickers announced! – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 9 October 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

Halted tickers announced!

TSE and IFB issuers supervisory, published a list of halted for more than 7 days tickers clearing the reasons behind. There are 21 with the absence of more than a week.

TSE list:

In the banking sector, despite the numerous follow ups, below names are still reluctant to publish their latest accounts (FY 2015/16). It is noteworthy to mention that CBI objects their financials mostly due the fact that they were not in accordance to IFRS.

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The Impossible Trinity! – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 25 September 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

“The Impossible Trinity!

CBI stats showing that over the recent months, non-tradable inflation bested the tradable (1.4% over 0.9% – growth) and added pressure to the sector due to a raising demand. Also the FX rate stability kept the tradable inflation under control which together will end in more imports unless someone put an end to. The situation is known as “Dutch Disease” among economists which infected Iran’s economy earlier in 2011/12.

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The 15 Commandments! – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 11 September 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

The 15 Commandments!

Yesterday, the new SEO chair addressed the press. After a quick Q&A, Mohammadi described his plan for the capital market thoroughly. Amid the statement he mentioned the scheme to change the deposit cap of fixed income funds in banks which pour the fresh liquidity to TSE & IFB. Mohammadi testifies to prioritize the following in facing the market challenges ahead:

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Money Market Alarm to go off! – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 4 September 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

Money Market Alarm to go off!

Stats shows over the recent months liquidity components has been changed. Term deposits growth rate stood on a two year low in May/Jun 2016, 1.2%, while demand deposits jumped 10% over the same period. This was not just for the spring. Studies reveals since the fall last year, “money/liquidity” ratio grew over “near money/liquidity”. Most likely imperative rates cuts in short intervals is there only to blame. Analysts believe, due to the fact that banks resources might turn to other markets and cause price pressure, this conversion will bring inflationary effects in either long or short terms. Needless to say that a deceleration in term deposits growth rate would make banks weaker on lending.

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Individuals to sell even more! – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 28 August 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

Individuals to sell even more!

TSE performance report card is out comparing key facts of the market with regards to that of the same date previous year. The overall index rose near 5% over the last month, trade volume also has won by a narrow margin. In contrast trading value faced a 9% decline and reached IRR 41,210,000 bn.

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Single digit Inflation: Bumpy road ahead – Daily Market News

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 26 June 2016in News & Reports No Comments

 Market News

Single digit Inflation: Bumpy road ahead

CBI’s latest stats shows the mean inflation rate fell under 10% after 68 months and stamped single digits. P to P rate is also on its decade low: 6.8%. It seems the administration stayed on the promise, yet the question is to what cost.

CPI came to 240.9 in June, however the opposition insists that there is only a recession left to deal with. It is noteworthy to express that nations like Venezuela, contrary to a deep depression, are struggling with even three digit inflation.

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“Mahan” financed airplanes on IFB – Daily Market Report

by Alireza Hojjatniadate: 29 May 2016in News & Reports No Comments

Market News

Mahan financed airplanes on IFB

Mahan Airlines Sukuks were sold on IFB today. The aviation giant decided to finance two airbuses by issuing Ijara securities with 21% nominal rate at par value of 1,000,000. The coupon payments will be quarterly and the maturity is in 4 years. The ask demand was 16 times higher than 2.1 mn issued papers and in an eye blink IRR 2,100 mn worth of securities were purchased.

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Monetary & Banking Research Institute 26th Annual Conference – Daily Market Report

by Navid Kalhordate: 24 May 2016in News & Reports No Comments

 Market News

According to Monetary and Banking Research Institute (MBRI) public relations, Akbar Komijani, deputy of Central Bank of Iran (CBI), in his speech in the 26th annual conference, dubbed “monetary policies performance and plans for the FY2016/17,” said: “the monetary base over financial year 2015/16 witnessed 17.1% growth YOY and reached the amount 1,535.7 trillion rials, indicating 6.4 unit percent growth to that 2014/15.

Money multiplier stood at 6.624, showing 11% rise compared with that of 2014/15 and registering 0.5 unit percent rise with the prior year. This is to say that the major catalyst behind liquidity in the previous year was the spike in monetary base, noted Komijani.

Regarding the effective factors in the change in monetary base, this official also stressed that net foreign assets of CBI with 21.3% growth y/y and constituting 25.7 unit percent was the main driver behind money base increase in the earlier Fiscal Year.

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