“Hesabdar” Magazine recently conducted an interview with Abdol-Rasoul Dorri-Esfahani, in which they asked Mr. Dorri to comment on details of the JCPOA and any potential implications for the financial services sector in Iran.
- Euromoney Indices Company’s officials attended Iran aiming to discuss and negotiate the issue of designing and publishing TSE’s international indices. Rumors have it that suggestions have also been made by Bloomberg and Reuters in order to publish TSE’s data through their platforms. As experts have stated, introducing TSE’s indices by well-known index-providers, including Euromoney and S&P can contribute a lot to gaining foreign investors’ trust and interest in our market.
- The approval of the JCPOA at the final moments of today’s trading session contributed to a positive shock in the market, resulting in the price hike of some shares. As financial analysts believe, this agreement has the potential to exert a positive impact on the TEDPIX, leading to a 15-20% rise in prices in the short run and if accompanied by the gradual removal and modification of economic challenges in the society, including the inflation and bank interest rates, it can promise long-term positive changes in the market climate.
- At the end of the week ending October 7, 2015, the overall index registered 109 point decline to stand at 61,390. The first market index reached 42,534 after shedding 231 points or 0.54% while the second market benchmark gained 631 points or 0.46% to end the week at 136,701. In this week, the value of the trades and transactions touched 3,023 IRR bn, remaining the same as that of the last week. Furthermore, 1,724 million shares and rights changed hands in 133,000 times, showing a 9.5% decline and a 5% rise, compared to the week before. In addition, 319,535 bonds and sukuks worth 319 IRR bn were transferred, posting a 21% decrease, in relation with the previous week. In conclusion, sectors such as Tire and Plastic, Tannery, Base Metals, and Iron Ore registered the most positive impact on the industry index by 10.2%, 5.30%, 2.85% and 2.69%, respectively.
SEO announced its agreement for issuance of two different sukuks, namely Istisna’, a contract of exchange with deferred delivery, applied to specified made-to-order items and Ijarah, quite similar to financial leasing in Fara Bourse of Iran. National Industrial and Mining Company will publish Istinsa’ sukuks, amounting to 1,620 IRR bn to construct industrial structures of its concentrate and pellet factories, each having production capacity of 5.2 million annually. These are bearer papers, with yield rate of 23% (payable every quarterly) and 3-year maturity date.
MValue vs. TEDPIX & IFX
Current oil price drop globally and demand fall macro-economically have struck the country on the face, multiplied by sanctions persistence. Controlling inflation rate and reducing uncertainties in the economy plus improving business climate, Rouhani’s government managed to provide the conditions to witness high and stable economic growth. However, the acceleration to this process ceased to continue by the emergence of oil price shocks and demand dramatic reduction. Despite noticeable improving signs in the economy, it is susceptible the disease might take momentum once again.
- Despite the expected statistics, experts believe that Mobin Petrochemical Company might have demonstrated an acceptable performance in the first half of the current year. The company seems to have managed to cover more than 50% of its forecasted EPS over this period. Mobin has been able to cover 25% of its Rial sales in the Q12015 by reducing its costs. Offering services to supply water, electricity, oxygen and nitrogen and filtering industrial water wastes of petrochemical complexes in Asaluyeh, Mobin Petrochemical Company is distinguished from its peers by the ability to supply electricity required by companies in that region. The electricity generated by Mobin enjoys high security level which has contributed to having special customers; this is the reason to its higher electricity price. In fact, this unique feature has created a secure margin for the company which is also strengthened by its proper fundamental situation.
- Today, a special meeting of the parliamentary committee aimed at reviewing the JCPOA, agreed by Iran and the 5+1 governments in Vienna hosted the country’s foreign minister and his team answering questions raised by the parliament members. According to the news, the negotiating team members believed that the meeting has been effective in clearing the ambiguities about the agreement. As a result of the meeting, a bill was proposed on the basis of double-urgency but lawmakers approved it as a single-urgency bill. This bill permits the government to implement the deal based on the Supreme National Security Council resolutions. On July 14th, Iran and 5+1 governments succeeded in finalizing the content of JCPOA under which, limits were agreed to be put on Iran’s nuclear activities in exchange for the removal of all economic and financial bans imposed against the country.
- Tomorrow, Pegah-e Fars Company’s shares will go public. Having predicted its EPS to be 426 IRR, this company could recognize 100 IRR in the first quarter. The intrinsic value of this stock has been calculated to be 6,340 IRR and as experts believe, on the account that most companies in this sector are traded 50% below their intrinsic values, 3,000 IRR price area seems to be the theoretical trade price. On the other hand, since the share’s P/E will be close to 7 at such a price, it would not be a logical suggestion. Furthermore, in order to enjoy a profitable sale, shares are better to be supplied at prices way lower than their intrinsic values; as a result, 2,000-2,400 IRR is estimated to be more appropriate until the shares reach the 3,000 IRR for balance in the mid-term.